Anthropic holds an 82.5% implied probability in this market because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, posting the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that test multi-step reasoning, tool use, and real app building. These models have accumulated far more community votes than challengers, creating a stable lead over recent Alibaba Qwen3.8 releases and Moonshot entries that briefly approached or tied point estimates but carry wider confidence intervals and lower vote volume. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family sits at 17.4% amid solid but trailing benchmark placement. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or sustained leaderboard shifts could still influence final trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic 83%
OpenAI 17.4%
Alibaba <1%
Google <1%
$97,133 Vol.
$97,133 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Anthropic
83%
OpenAI
17%
Alibaba
1%
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 83%
OpenAI 17.4%
Alibaba <1%
Google <1%
$97,133 Vol.
$97,133 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Anthropic
$43,547 Vol.
83%
OpenAI
$9,752 Vol.
17%
Alibaba
$5,829 Vol.
1%
$3,573 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$18,300 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,804 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$3,189 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$2,204 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$468 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$559 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an 82.5% implied probability in this market because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, posting the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that test multi-step reasoning, tool use, and real app building. These models have accumulated far more community votes than challengers, creating a stable lead over recent Alibaba Qwen3.8 releases and Moonshot entries that briefly approached or tied point estimates but carry wider confidence intervals and lower vote volume. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family sits at 17.4% amid solid but trailing benchmark placement. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or sustained leaderboard shifts could still influence final trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volume
$97,133Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an 82.5% implied probability in this market because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, posting the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that test multi-step reasoning, tool use, and real app building. These models have accumulated far more community votes than challengers, creating a stable lead over recent Alibaba Qwen3.8 releases and Moonshot entries that briefly approached or tied point estimates but carry wider confidence intervals and lower vote volume. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family sits at 17.4% amid solid but trailing benchmark placement. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or sustained leaderboard shifts could still influence final trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$97,133Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an 82.5% implied probability in this market because its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants currently top the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, posting the highest Elo scores in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that test multi-step reasoning, tool use, and real app building. These models have accumulated far more community votes than challengers, creating a stable lead over recent Alibaba Qwen3.8 releases and Moonshot entries that briefly approached or tied point estimates but carry wider confidence intervals and lower vote volume. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family sits at 17.4% amid solid but trailing benchmark placement. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or sustained leaderboard shifts could still influence final trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Alibaba sera-t-il le deuxième meilleur Code Arena | WebDev AI lab à la fin septembre 2026 ?
40%
Oui
Alibaba sera-t-il le troisième meilleur Code Arena | WebDev AI lab à la fin de septembre 2026 ?
41%
Oui
Alibaba sera-t-il le deuxième meilleur Code Arena | laboratoire d'IA WebDev à la fin octobre 2026 ?
28%
Oui
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