Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has become the dominant catalyst, tightening trader focus on mid-September windows after Grok 4.6 shipped on August 12. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX data for stronger real-world engineering performance, remains unconfirmed by xAI with no API endpoint, model card, or benchmarks released yet. Prior timelines have repeatedly slipped, creating the current tight clustering around early-to-mid September dates as traders weigh historical cadence against the lack of final verification. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI adds uncertainty, while the market’s spread reflects ongoing debate over whether the founder’s target holds or extends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour17 septembre 39%
Le ou avant le 9 septembre 39.3%
29 septembre 39%
23 septembre 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
Le ou avant le 9 septembre
39%
10 septembre
27%
11 septembre
38%
12 septembre
17%
13 septembre
32%
14 septembre
31%
15 septembre
34%
16 septembre
33%
17 septembre
39%
18 septembre
36%
19 septembre
34%
20 septembre
34%
21 septembre
36%
22 septembre
33%
23 septembre
39%
24 septembre
32%
25 septembre
34%
26 septembre
37%
27 septembre
30%
28 septembre
38%
29 septembre
39%
30 septembre
34%
Aucune version avant le 30 septembre
36%
17 septembre 39%
Le ou avant le 9 septembre 39.3%
29 septembre 39%
23 septembre 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
Le ou avant le 9 septembre
$33 Vol.
39%
10 septembre
$0 Vol.
27%
11 septembre
$0 Vol.
38%
12 septembre
$317 Vol.
17%
13 septembre
$55 Vol.
32%
14 septembre
$0 Vol.
31%
15 septembre
$21 Vol.
34%
16 septembre
$0 Vol.
33%
17 septembre
$0 Vol.
39%
18 septembre
$0 Vol.
36%
19 septembre
$0 Vol.
34%
20 septembre
$0 Vol.
34%
21 septembre
$0 Vol.
36%
22 septembre
$0 Vol.
33%
23 septembre
$0 Vol.
39%
24 septembre
$0 Vol.
32%
25 septembre
$0 Vol.
34%
26 septembre
$0 Vol.
37%
27 septembre
$0 Vol.
30%
28 septembre
$0 Vol.
38%
29 septembre
$0 Vol.
39%
30 septembre
$0 Vol.
34%
Aucune version avant le 30 septembre
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has become the dominant catalyst, tightening trader focus on mid-September windows after Grok 4.6 shipped on August 12. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX data for stronger real-world engineering performance, remains unconfirmed by xAI with no API endpoint, model card, or benchmarks released yet. Prior timelines have repeatedly slipped, creating the current tight clustering around early-to-mid September dates as traders weigh historical cadence against the lack of final verification. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI adds uncertainty, while the market’s spread reflects ongoing debate over whether the founder’s target holds or extends.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volume
$426Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has become the dominant catalyst, tightening trader focus on mid-September windows after Grok 4.6 shipped on August 12. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX data for stronger real-world engineering performance, remains unconfirmed by xAI with no API endpoint, model card, or benchmarks released yet. Prior timelines have repeatedly slipped, creating the current tight clustering around early-to-mid September dates as traders weigh historical cadence against the lack of final verification. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI adds uncertainty, while the market’s spread reflects ongoing debate over whether the founder’s target holds or extends.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$426Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 would arrive in roughly ten days has become the dominant catalyst, tightening trader focus on mid-September windows after Grok 4.6 shipped on August 12. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX data for stronger real-world engineering performance, remains unconfirmed by xAI with no API endpoint, model card, or benchmarks released yet. Prior timelines have repeatedly slipped, creating the current tight clustering around early-to-mid September dates as traders weigh historical cadence against the lack of final verification. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI adds uncertainty, while the market’s spread reflects ongoing debate over whether the founder’s target holds or extends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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