Waymo’s rapid September 1 launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa pushed its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities, directly anchoring the market’s 44.5% implied probability on the 12-15 range. The company’s fleet now exceeds 4,000 vehicles, with weekly rides above 500,000 and a stated goal of one million by year-end, supported by its sixth-generation Waymo Driver hardware and new Ojai minivans. Expansion follows a deliberate sequence of mapping, employee testing, and gradual public rollout that typically takes months per market, limiting the scope for many additional full commercial launches before December 31. Permits and testing continue in Las Vegas, Washington D.C., and Detroit, while California approvals expand service areas inside existing metros rather than new ones; international plans such as London remain early-stage. Traders therefore price modest further growth as the base case, with upside hinging on faster regulatory clearances or accelerated fleet scaling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour12-15 44.5%
<12 27.4%
16-19 15%
20-23 4.7%
$90,640 Vol.
$90,640 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<12
27%
12-15
44%
16-19
15%
20-23
5%
24-27
3%
28-31
1%
32+
<1%
12-15 44.5%
<12 27.4%
16-19 15%
20-23 4.7%
$90,640 Vol.
$90,640 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<12
$7,437 Vol.
27%
12-15
$30,802 Vol.
44%
16-19
$18,175 Vol.
15%
20-23
$13,672 Vol.
5%
24-27
$11,070 Vol.
3%
28-31
$4,700 Vol.
1%
32+
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid September 1 launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa pushed its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities, directly anchoring the market’s 44.5% implied probability on the 12-15 range. The company’s fleet now exceeds 4,000 vehicles, with weekly rides above 500,000 and a stated goal of one million by year-end, supported by its sixth-generation Waymo Driver hardware and new Ojai minivans. Expansion follows a deliberate sequence of mapping, employee testing, and gradual public rollout that typically takes months per market, limiting the scope for many additional full commercial launches before December 31. Permits and testing continue in Las Vegas, Washington D.C., and Detroit, while California approvals expand service areas inside existing metros rather than new ones; international plans such as London remain early-stage. Traders therefore price modest further growth as the base case, with upside hinging on faster regulatory clearances or accelerated fleet scaling.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$90,640Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid September 1 launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa pushed its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities, directly anchoring the market’s 44.5% implied probability on the 12-15 range. The company’s fleet now exceeds 4,000 vehicles, with weekly rides above 500,000 and a stated goal of one million by year-end, supported by its sixth-generation Waymo Driver hardware and new Ojai minivans. Expansion follows a deliberate sequence of mapping, employee testing, and gradual public rollout that typically takes months per market, limiting the scope for many additional full commercial launches before December 31. Permits and testing continue in Las Vegas, Washington D.C., and Detroit, while California approvals expand service areas inside existing metros rather than new ones; international plans such as London remain early-stage. Traders therefore price modest further growth as the base case, with upside hinging on faster regulatory clearances or accelerated fleet scaling.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,640Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s rapid September 1 launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa pushed its commercial footprint to 14 U.S. cities, directly anchoring the market’s 44.5% implied probability on the 12-15 range. The company’s fleet now exceeds 4,000 vehicles, with weekly rides above 500,000 and a stated goal of one million by year-end, supported by its sixth-generation Waymo Driver hardware and new Ojai minivans. Expansion follows a deliberate sequence of mapping, employee testing, and gradual public rollout that typically takes months per market, limiting the scope for many additional full commercial launches before December 31. Permits and testing continue in Las Vegas, Washington D.C., and Detroit, while California approvals expand service areas inside existing metros rather than new ones; international plans such as London remain early-stage. Traders therefore price modest further growth as the base case, with upside hinging on faster regulatory clearances or accelerated fleet scaling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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