Recent AI-driven gains have tightened the race for third-largest market cap by September's end, with Alphabet and Apple holding the strongest implied probabilities at 45.5% and 40% amid NVIDIA's continued lead. Alphabet's edge stems from its Google Cloud momentum, Gemini model releases, and search dominance, while Apple's position reflects steady services revenue and potential AI hardware updates, though both face volatility from earnings and macroeconomic shifts. Microsoft trails at 21% due to slower relative growth, with NVIDIA at 27% unlikely to slip that far. Traders are watching upcoming quarterly results and chip demand reports as key catalysts that could quickly reorder the top tier in this closely contested window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlphabet 45%
Apple 37%
Saudi Aramco 22%
Microsoft 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Alphabet
45%
Apple
37%
Saudi Aramco
22%
Microsoft
21%
NVIDIA
21%
Tesla
18%
Amazon
8%
Broadcom
5%
Alphabet 45%
Apple 37%
Saudi Aramco 22%
Microsoft 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Alphabet
$303 Vol.
45%
Apple
$0 Vol.
37%
Saudi Aramco
$290 Vol.
22%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
21%
NVIDIA
$0 Vol.
21%
Tesla
$125 Vol.
18%
Amazon
$75 Vol.
8%
Broadcom
$60 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent AI-driven gains have tightened the race for third-largest market cap by September's end, with Alphabet and Apple holding the strongest implied probabilities at 45.5% and 40% amid NVIDIA's continued lead. Alphabet's edge stems from its Google Cloud momentum, Gemini model releases, and search dominance, while Apple's position reflects steady services revenue and potential AI hardware updates, though both face volatility from earnings and macroeconomic shifts. Microsoft trails at 21% due to slower relative growth, with NVIDIA at 27% unlikely to slip that far. Traders are watching upcoming quarterly results and chip demand reports as key catalysts that could quickly reorder the top tier in this closely contested window.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$853Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent AI-driven gains have tightened the race for third-largest market cap by September's end, with Alphabet and Apple holding the strongest implied probabilities at 45.5% and 40% amid NVIDIA's continued lead. Alphabet's edge stems from its Google Cloud momentum, Gemini model releases, and search dominance, while Apple's position reflects steady services revenue and potential AI hardware updates, though both face volatility from earnings and macroeconomic shifts. Microsoft trails at 21% due to slower relative growth, with NVIDIA at 27% unlikely to slip that far. Traders are watching upcoming quarterly results and chip demand reports as key catalysts that could quickly reorder the top tier in this closely contested window.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$853Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AI-driven gains have tightened the race for third-largest market cap by September's end, with Alphabet and Apple holding the strongest implied probabilities at 45.5% and 40% amid NVIDIA's continued lead. Alphabet's edge stems from its Google Cloud momentum, Gemini model releases, and search dominance, while Apple's position reflects steady services revenue and potential AI hardware updates, though both face volatility from earnings and macroeconomic shifts. Microsoft trails at 21% due to slower relative growth, with NVIDIA at 27% unlikely to slip that far. Traders are watching upcoming quarterly results and chip demand reports as key catalysts that could quickly reorder the top tier in this closely contested window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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