**Claude Fable 5.1 leads trader sentiment for the best AI model on September 14 because Anthropic released it on September 1 as its most capable model yet for coding, knowledge work, and long-horizon tasks.** Independent benchmarks such as the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Vals Index immediately placed Fable 5.1 at the top, ahead of its predecessor Fable 5, Claude Opus 5, and competing frontier models from OpenAI and Google. The max-effort variant benefits from improved agentic performance, higher scores on coding suites like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench derivatives, and a 1M-token context window, positioning it as the clear frontrunner among listed Claude options. Opus 5 variants trail due to Fable 5.1’s measured gains in capability and efficiency at the highest effort settings. The sizable “Other” share reflects ongoing uncertainty around rapid releases from competitors and the short window before the September 14 snapshot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourclaude-fable-5.1-max 63%
Autre 38%
claude-opus-5-max 1.6%
claude-opus-5-high 1.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
claude-fable-5.1-max
63%
Autre
38%
claude-opus-5-max
2%
claude-opus-5-high
2%
claude-opus-4-6-high
1%
claude-fable-5.1-max 63%
Autre 38%
claude-opus-5-max 1.6%
claude-opus-5-high 1.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
claude-fable-5.1-max
$4,057 Vol.
63%
Autre
$4,106 Vol.
38%
claude-opus-5-max
$143 Vol.
2%
claude-opus-5-high
$141 Vol.
2%
claude-opus-4-6-high
$252 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Claude Fable 5.1 leads trader sentiment for the best AI model on September 14 because Anthropic released it on September 1 as its most capable model yet for coding, knowledge work, and long-horizon tasks.** Independent benchmarks such as the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Vals Index immediately placed Fable 5.1 at the top, ahead of its predecessor Fable 5, Claude Opus 5, and competing frontier models from OpenAI and Google. The max-effort variant benefits from improved agentic performance, higher scores on coding suites like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench derivatives, and a 1M-token context window, positioning it as the clear frontrunner among listed Claude options. Opus 5 variants trail due to Fable 5.1’s measured gains in capability and efficiency at the highest effort settings. The sizable “Other” share reflects ongoing uncertainty around rapid releases from competitors and the short window before the September 14 snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Volume
$8,699Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Claude Fable 5.1 leads trader sentiment for the best AI model on September 14 because Anthropic released it on September 1 as its most capable model yet for coding, knowledge work, and long-horizon tasks.** Independent benchmarks such as the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Vals Index immediately placed Fable 5.1 at the top, ahead of its predecessor Fable 5, Claude Opus 5, and competing frontier models from OpenAI and Google. The max-effort variant benefits from improved agentic performance, higher scores on coding suites like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench derivatives, and a 1M-token context window, positioning it as the clear frontrunner among listed Claude options. Opus 5 variants trail due to Fable 5.1’s measured gains in capability and efficiency at the highest effort settings. The sizable “Other” share reflects ongoing uncertainty around rapid releases from competitors and the short window before the September 14 snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,699Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Claude Fable 5.1 leads trader sentiment for the best AI model on September 14 because Anthropic released it on September 1 as its most capable model yet for coding, knowledge work, and long-horizon tasks.** Independent benchmarks such as the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and Vals Index immediately placed Fable 5.1 at the top, ahead of its predecessor Fable 5, Claude Opus 5, and competing frontier models from OpenAI and Google. The max-effort variant benefits from improved agentic performance, higher scores on coding suites like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench derivatives, and a 1M-token context window, positioning it as the clear frontrunner among listed Claude options. Opus 5 variants trail due to Fable 5.1’s measured gains in capability and efficiency at the highest effort settings. The sizable “Other” share reflects ongoing uncertainty around rapid releases from competitors and the short window before the September 14 snapshot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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