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icon for Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario
Politique·Élection Principale

Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario

icon for Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario
Politique·Élection Principale

Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario

Navdeep Bains 55%

Lee Fairclough 21%

Stephanie Bowman 14%

Eric Lombardi 7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Navdeep Bains 55%

Lee Fairclough 21%

Stephanie Bowman 14%

Eric Lombardi 7%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Navdeep Bains

Navdeep Bains

$617 Vol.

55%

icon for Lee Fairclough

Lee Fairclough

$298 Vol.

21%

icon for Stephanie Bowman

Stephanie Bowman

$120 Vol.

14%

icon for Eric Lombardi

Eric Lombardi

$129 Vol.

7%

icon for Dylan Marando

Dylan Marando

$52 Vol.

3%

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Volume
$1,216
Date de fin
21 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Volume
$1,216
Date de fin
21 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.

Connexes

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Navdeep Bains » à 56%, suivi de « Lee Fairclough » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario » est « Navdeep Bains » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lee Fairclough » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection à la direction du Parti libéral de l'Ontario » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.