Forecast models for Munich on August 31 indicate an overnight minimum near 15–16°C amid light rain, increasing clouds, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h, limiting radiative cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress temperature drops by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky heat loss, while moderate winds promote mixing that prevents sharper declines typical under calm, clear conditions. Late-summer variability and minor model differences in exact timing of showers create the narrow spread across 11–21°C outcomes, with official DWD station readings determining resolution amid these atmospheric influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 31?
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
11°C or below 27%
11°C or below
27%
12°C
8%
13°C
9%
14°C
26%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
14%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
59%
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
11°C or below 27%
11°C or below
27%
12°C
8%
13°C
9%
14°C
26%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
14%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Munich on August 31 indicate an overnight minimum near 15–16°C amid light rain, increasing clouds, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h, limiting radiative cooling. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress temperature drops by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky heat loss, while moderate winds promote mixing that prevents sharper declines typical under calm, clear conditions. Late-summer variability and minor model differences in exact timing of showers create the narrow spread across 11–21°C outcomes, with official DWD station readings determining resolution amid these atmospheric influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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