**Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from European weather services indicate the daily minimum temperature in Munich will reach approximately 13°C overnight, driven by moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and light southerly winds maintaining a stable boundary layer.** This aligns closely with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability for exactly 13°C, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time surface observations, dew point trends around 10–12°C, and consensus from high-resolution models showing minimal deviation from the expected diurnal range under late-summer conditions. Historical August 30 averages near 12.6°C provide additional context, though recent warm advection has kept values slightly elevated. The small 1.5% probability on 12°C or below accounts for possible model underestimation if skies clear more than anticipated. Updated station data or revised runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) could introduce minor adjustments before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
13°C 99%
12°C or below 2%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,626 Vol.
$1,626 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99%
12°C or below 2%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,626 Vol.
$1,626 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$207 Vol.
2%
13°C
$552 Vol.
99%
14°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from European weather services indicate the daily minimum temperature in Munich will reach approximately 13°C overnight, driven by moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and light southerly winds maintaining a stable boundary layer.** This aligns closely with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability for exactly 13°C, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time surface observations, dew point trends around 10–12°C, and consensus from high-resolution models showing minimal deviation from the expected diurnal range under late-summer conditions. Historical August 30 averages near 12.6°C provide additional context, though recent warm advection has kept values slightly elevated. The small 1.5% probability on 12°C or below accounts for possible model underestimation if skies clear more than anticipated. Updated station data or revised runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) could introduce minor adjustments before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,626End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from European weather services indicate the daily minimum temperature in Munich will reach approximately 13°C overnight, driven by moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and light southerly winds maintaining a stable boundary layer.** This aligns closely with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability for exactly 13°C, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time surface observations, dew point trends around 10–12°C, and consensus from high-resolution models showing minimal deviation from the expected diurnal range under late-summer conditions. Historical August 30 averages near 12.6°C provide additional context, though recent warm advection has kept values slightly elevated. The small 1.5% probability on 12°C or below accounts for possible model underestimation if skies clear more than anticipated. Updated station data or revised runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) could introduce minor adjustments before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,626End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from European weather services indicate the daily minimum temperature in Munich will reach approximately 13°C overnight, driven by moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and light southerly winds maintaining a stable boundary layer.** This aligns closely with the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability for exactly 13°C, reflecting traders' aggregation of real-time surface observations, dew point trends around 10–12°C, and consensus from high-resolution models showing minimal deviation from the expected diurnal range under late-summer conditions. Historical August 30 averages near 12.6°C provide additional context, though recent warm advection has kept values slightly elevated. The small 1.5% probability on 12°C or below accounts for possible model underestimation if skies clear more than anticipated. Updated station data or revised runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) could introduce minor adjustments before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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