**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 30, 2026, will reach approximately 9–11°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C.** Daytime highs near 20–22°C reflect limited diurnal range due to cloudiness and precipitation chances, preventing significant radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market's 98% implied probability for an 11°C low, as traders incorporate skin-in-the-game assessment of stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or a sharper wind shift enhancing nocturnal cooling below 10°C, or station-specific measurement variance at official sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
11°C 98%
10°C 17.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
18%
11°C
98%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 98%
10°C 17.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
$173 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$111 Vol.
18%
11°C
$499 Vol.
98%
12°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 30, 2026, will reach approximately 9–11°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C.**
Daytime highs near 20–22°C reflect limited diurnal range due to cloudiness and precipitation chances, preventing significant radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market's 98% implied probability for an 11°C low, as traders incorporate skin-in-the-game assessment of stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or a sharper wind shift enhancing nocturnal cooling below 10°C, or station-specific measurement variance at official sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,663End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 30, 2026, will reach approximately 9–11°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C.**
Daytime highs near 20–22°C reflect limited diurnal range due to cloudiness and precipitation chances, preventing significant radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market's 98% implied probability for an 11°C low, as traders incorporate skin-in-the-game assessment of stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or a sharper wind shift enhancing nocturnal cooling below 10°C, or station-specific measurement variance at official sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,663End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 30, 2026, will reach approximately 9–11°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C.** Daytime highs near 20–22°C reflect limited diurnal range due to cloudiness and precipitation chances, preventing significant radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market's 98% implied probability for an 11°C low, as traders incorporate skin-in-the-game assessment of stable late-summer synoptic patterns with no cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or a sharper wind shift enhancing nocturnal cooling below 10°C, or station-specific measurement variance at official sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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