Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,498 Vol.
$20,498 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,498 Vol.
$20,498 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$335 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,740 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,656 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,490 Vol.
100%
23°C
$3,068 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,495 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$969 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20,498End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,498End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum of 20–22°C on August 30 under cloudy, rainy conditions with southerly flow, aligning precisely with the 22°C market outcome. This reflects the climatological seasonal decline from midsummer peaks near 23–25°C, with current observations showing afternoon readings stabilizing around 21–22°C amid light precipitation. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 22°C draws from real-time station data and limited model spread, though minor resolution risk persists if localized measurements at the primary reporting site deviate slightly due to urban heat effects or timing of the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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