Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,819 Vol.
$1,819 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,819 Vol.
$1,819 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$365 Vol.
No
23°C
$127 Vol.
No
24°C
$188 Vol.
No
25°C
$139 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$171 Vol.
No
27°C
$298 Vol.
No
28°C
$310 Vol.
No
29°C
$50 Vol.
No
30°C
$70 Vol.
No
31°C
$50 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$50 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,819End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,819End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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