Official National Weather Service and NOAA observations from Austin stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, 2026, confirming the market's 100% consensus on this narrow band. Clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure produced the expected overnight low near the seasonal average for central Texas, with no anomalous humidity or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Traders weighted these verified measurements heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data rather than forecasts. Only a rare post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result, though historical consistency in such records makes that highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$4,219 Vol.
$4,219 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$4,219 Vol.
$4,219 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$161 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$112 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$707 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$529 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$291 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$84 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$60 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$112 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,745 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$302 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$117 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and NOAA observations from Austin stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, 2026, confirming the market's 100% consensus on this narrow band. Clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure produced the expected overnight low near the seasonal average for central Texas, with no anomalous humidity or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Traders weighted these verified measurements heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data rather than forecasts. Only a rare post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result, though historical consistency in such records makes that highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$4,219End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and NOAA observations from Austin stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, 2026, confirming the market's 100% consensus on this narrow band. Clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure produced the expected overnight low near the seasonal average for central Texas, with no anomalous humidity or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Traders weighted these verified measurements heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data rather than forecasts. Only a rare post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result, though historical consistency in such records makes that highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,219End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service and NOAA observations from Austin stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70-71°F on August 29, 2026, confirming the market's 100% consensus on this narrow band. Clear skies, light winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure produced the expected overnight low near the seasonal average for central Texas, with no anomalous humidity or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Traders weighted these verified measurements heavily, as resolution hinges on official station data rather than forecasts. Only a rare post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result, though historical consistency in such records makes that highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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