**Persistent mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle have kept overnight cooling limited in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, supporting trader focus on a minimum near 17–18°C.** Official and model guidance from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles show daytime highs around 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, combined with high humidity (often 80–95%) and scattered showers, suppress radiational cooling after sunset. Forecast lows for the night of the 30th cluster between 15–18°C, with many runs pointing to 16–17°C as the floor once any residual daytime heat dissipates. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 17°C and 18°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of any brief wind shifts or partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling versus sustained overcast and drizzle. Historical August 30 averages (roughly 12.5°C low) highlight how atypical the current Atlantic-driven pattern is, elevating the floor well above climatology. With the day nearing its close and no incoming cold front, traders appear to be pricing the most probable resolution window as 17–18°C based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
13°C or below 41%
16°C 20%
14°C 17%
15°C 8%
$775 Vol.
$775 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
41%
14°C
17%
15°C
8%
16°C
20%
17°C
48%
18°C
44%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 41%
16°C 20%
14°C 17%
15°C 8%
$775 Vol.
$775 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$15 Vol.
41%
14°C
$37 Vol.
17%
15°C
$81 Vol.
8%
16°C
$50 Vol.
20%
17°C
$5 Vol.
48%
18°C
$2 Vol.
44%
19°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle have kept overnight cooling limited in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, supporting trader focus on a minimum near 17–18°C.**
Official and model guidance from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles show daytime highs around 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, combined with high humidity (often 80–95%) and scattered showers, suppress radiational cooling after sunset. Forecast lows for the night of the 30th cluster between 15–18°C, with many runs pointing to 16–17°C as the floor once any residual daytime heat dissipates.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 17°C and 18°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of any brief wind shifts or partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling versus sustained overcast and drizzle. Historical August 30 averages (roughly 12.5°C low) highlight how atypical the current Atlantic-driven pattern is, elevating the floor well above climatology. With the day nearing its close and no incoming cold front, traders appear to be pricing the most probable resolution window as 17–18°C based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$775End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle have kept overnight cooling limited in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, supporting trader focus on a minimum near 17–18°C.**
Official and model guidance from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles show daytime highs around 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, combined with high humidity (often 80–95%) and scattered showers, suppress radiational cooling after sunset. Forecast lows for the night of the 30th cluster between 15–18°C, with many runs pointing to 16–17°C as the floor once any residual daytime heat dissipates.
The near-even split in market-implied odds between 17°C and 18°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of any brief wind shifts or partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling versus sustained overcast and drizzle. Historical August 30 averages (roughly 12.5°C low) highlight how atypical the current Atlantic-driven pattern is, elevating the floor well above climatology. With the day nearing its close and no incoming cold front, traders appear to be pricing the most probable resolution window as 17–18°C based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$775End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle have kept overnight cooling limited in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, supporting trader focus on a minimum near 17–18°C.** Official and model guidance from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents, GFS, and European ensembles show daytime highs around 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions, combined with high humidity (often 80–95%) and scattered showers, suppress radiational cooling after sunset. Forecast lows for the night of the 30th cluster between 15–18°C, with many runs pointing to 16–17°C as the floor once any residual daytime heat dissipates. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 17°C and 18°C reflects small but meaningful differences in model timing of any brief wind shifts or partial clearing, which could allow an extra degree of cooling versus sustained overcast and drizzle. Historical August 30 averages (roughly 12.5°C low) highlight how atypical the current Atlantic-driven pattern is, elevating the floor well above climatology. With the day nearing its close and no incoming cold front, traders appear to be pricing the most probable resolution window as 17–18°C based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions