The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,414 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
September 30
1%
October 31
2%
November 30
6%
December 31
5%
$14,414 Vol.
September 30
$6,660 Vol.
1%
October 31
$5,143 Vol.
2%
November 30
$1,041 Vol.
6%
December 31
$1,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$14,414End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,414End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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