**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.** Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$18,454 Vol.
$18,454 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$18,454 Vol.
$18,454 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,378 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,634 Vol.
100%
27°C
$4,638 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,758 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.**
Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,454End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.**
Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,454End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.** Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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