Traders are heavily favoring a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on August 3, reflecting short-range forecast models that project above-average summer heat driven by persistent high-pressure systems and reduced sea-breeze moderation typical for early August. Historical climatology from sources like Weatherspark places average August highs near 30–32°C (86–90°F), with rare exceedances of 34°C, yet 2026 monthly guidance from AccuWeather anticipates peaks up to 33–34°C amid seasonal warming trends. This consensus accounts for urban heat-island effects and minimal cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher acknowledge model uncertainty in exact intensification and timing. Updated numerical weather predictions expected within 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
34°C 61%
35°C 22%
33°C 16%
31°C or below 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
61%
35°C
22%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 61%
35°C 22%
33°C 16%
31°C or below 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
$12 Vol.
4%
32°C
$11 Vol.
4%
33°C
$11 Vol.
16%
34°C
$25 Vol.
61%
35°C
$53 Vol.
22%
36°C
$11 Vol.
3%
37°C
$11 Vol.
3%
38°C
$21 Vol.
2%
39°C
$20 Vol.
2%
40°C
$21 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$23 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are heavily favoring a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on August 3, reflecting short-range forecast models that project above-average summer heat driven by persistent high-pressure systems and reduced sea-breeze moderation typical for early August. Historical climatology from sources like Weatherspark places average August highs near 30–32°C (86–90°F), with rare exceedances of 34°C, yet 2026 monthly guidance from AccuWeather anticipates peaks up to 33–34°C amid seasonal warming trends. This consensus accounts for urban heat-island effects and minimal cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher acknowledge model uncertainty in exact intensification and timing. Updated numerical weather predictions expected within 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$220End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are heavily favoring a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on August 3, reflecting short-range forecast models that project above-average summer heat driven by persistent high-pressure systems and reduced sea-breeze moderation typical for early August. Historical climatology from sources like Weatherspark places average August highs near 30–32°C (86–90°F), with rare exceedances of 34°C, yet 2026 monthly guidance from AccuWeather anticipates peaks up to 33–34°C amid seasonal warming trends. This consensus accounts for urban heat-island effects and minimal cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher acknowledge model uncertainty in exact intensification and timing. Updated numerical weather predictions expected within 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$220End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are heavily favoring a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on August 3, reflecting short-range forecast models that project above-average summer heat driven by persistent high-pressure systems and reduced sea-breeze moderation typical for early August. Historical climatology from sources like Weatherspark places average August highs near 30–32°C (86–90°F), with rare exceedances of 34°C, yet 2026 monthly guidance from AccuWeather anticipates peaks up to 33–34°C amid seasonal warming trends. This consensus accounts for urban heat-island effects and minimal cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher acknowledge model uncertainty in exact intensification and timing. Updated numerical weather predictions expected within 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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