Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 5 indicate daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with peak summer conditions and recent observations of 36°C on August 1. Urban heat island effects, elevated humidity, and light easterly winds support potential peaks near or above the seasonal average of 32–33°C, while model runs show limited intensification potential. Trader positioning around 35–36°C reflects this consensus alongside uncertainty from afternoon convection timing and any last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
36°C 44%
35°C 30%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
$11,264 Vol.
$11,264 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
30%
36°C
44%
37°C
20%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 44%
35°C 30%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
$11,264 Vol.
$11,264 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
30%
36°C
44%
37°C
20%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 5 indicate daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with peak summer conditions and recent observations of 36°C on August 1. Urban heat island effects, elevated humidity, and light easterly winds support potential peaks near or above the seasonal average of 32–33°C, while model runs show limited intensification potential. Trader positioning around 35–36°C reflects this consensus alongside uncertainty from afternoon convection timing and any last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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