Trader consensus around 34°C (44.5%) edging out 33°C (35.5%) reflects short-term forecast models projecting Panama City daytime maxima above the typical 29–30°C August climatology, driven by stable atmospheric conditions permitting greater morning solar insolation and surface heating before widespread afternoon convection develops. Wet-season patterns feature high humidity and potential for thunderstorms that cap further warming, with resolution hinging on exact timing of cloud build-up, local steering flows, and any late model revisions from official monitoring. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 33–34°C when convection initiates later than average, while data releases from regional agencies will clarify the final peak before market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 8?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 8?
34°C 45%
33°C 37%
32°C 14%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
37%
34°C
45%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 37%
32°C 14%
35°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
1%
31°C
$213 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,410 Vol.
14%
33°C
$1,133 Vol.
37%
34°C
$1,077 Vol.
45%
35°C
$1,427 Vol.
7%
36°C
$367 Vol.
1%
37°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 34°C (44.5%) edging out 33°C (35.5%) reflects short-term forecast models projecting Panama City daytime maxima above the typical 29–30°C August climatology, driven by stable atmospheric conditions permitting greater morning solar insolation and surface heating before widespread afternoon convection develops. Wet-season patterns feature high humidity and potential for thunderstorms that cap further warming, with resolution hinging on exact timing of cloud build-up, local steering flows, and any late model revisions from official monitoring. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 33–34°C when convection initiates later than average, while data releases from regional agencies will clarify the final peak before market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$8,160End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 34°C (44.5%) edging out 33°C (35.5%) reflects short-term forecast models projecting Panama City daytime maxima above the typical 29–30°C August climatology, driven by stable atmospheric conditions permitting greater morning solar insolation and surface heating before widespread afternoon convection develops. Wet-season patterns feature high humidity and potential for thunderstorms that cap further warming, with resolution hinging on exact timing of cloud build-up, local steering flows, and any late model revisions from official monitoring. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 33–34°C when convection initiates later than average, while data releases from regional agencies will clarify the final peak before market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,160End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 34°C (44.5%) edging out 33°C (35.5%) reflects short-term forecast models projecting Panama City daytime maxima above the typical 29–30°C August climatology, driven by stable atmospheric conditions permitting greater morning solar insolation and surface heating before widespread afternoon convection develops. Wet-season patterns feature high humidity and potential for thunderstorms that cap further warming, with resolution hinging on exact timing of cloud build-up, local steering flows, and any late model revisions from official monitoring. Historical analogs show occasional spikes to 33–34°C when convection initiates later than average, while data releases from regional agencies will clarify the final peak before market settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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