Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Moscow highs near 22–24°C on August 21, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate Atlantic airflow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological averages for the period hover around 20–22°C, providing a stable baseline, while recent observed highs of 20–24°C reflect variable but non-extreme patterns without strong high-pressure ridges or clear skies to push readings higher. Model consensus favors this range over outliers, explaining the market's concentration on 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs showing low probability of extremes this late in the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
34%
23°C
45%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$593 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
2%
20°C
$25 Vol.
3%
21°C
$14 Vol.
11%
22°C
$66 Vol.
34%
23°C
$452 Vol.
45%
24°C
$68 Vol.
10%
25°C
$35 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$162 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Moscow highs near 22–24°C on August 21, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate Atlantic airflow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological averages for the period hover around 20–22°C, providing a stable baseline, while recent observed highs of 20–24°C reflect variable but non-extreme patterns without strong high-pressure ridges or clear skies to push readings higher. Model consensus favors this range over outliers, explaining the market's concentration on 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs showing low probability of extremes this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,954End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Moscow highs near 22–24°C on August 21, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate Atlantic airflow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological averages for the period hover around 20–22°C, providing a stable baseline, while recent observed highs of 20–24°C reflect variable but non-extreme patterns without strong high-pressure ridges or clear skies to push readings higher. Model consensus favors this range over outliers, explaining the market's concentration on 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs showing low probability of extremes this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,954End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Moscow highs near 22–24°C on August 21, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate Atlantic airflow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological averages for the period hover around 20–22°C, providing a stable baseline, while recent observed highs of 20–24°C reflect variable but non-extreme patterns without strong high-pressure ridges or clear skies to push readings higher. Model consensus favors this range over outliers, explaining the market's concentration on 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs showing low probability of extremes this late in the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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