Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 19 show highs clustered near 34–37°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover the main drivers splitting market-implied odds between 36°C (41%) and 37°C (38.5%). Model consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation versus convective cooling, as timing of rain and steering flows can suppress or allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range; recent runs from regional agencies reflect this narrow spread without strong consensus on exact maxima. Historical August baselines near 33°C provide context, but short-term moisture patterns and diurnal heating rates will determine resolution. Updated model outputs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 19?
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 13%
35°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
41%
37°C
39%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 13%
35°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$541 Vol.
1%
32°C
$424 Vol.
1%
33°C
$264 Vol.
2%
34°C
$255 Vol.
3%
35°C
$293 Vol.
8%
36°C
$777 Vol.
41%
37°C
$1,128 Vol.
39%
38°C
$882 Vol.
13%
39°C
$312 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$672 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 19 show highs clustered near 34–37°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover the main drivers splitting market-implied odds between 36°C (41%) and 37°C (38.5%). Model consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation versus convective cooling, as timing of rain and steering flows can suppress or allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range; recent runs from regional agencies reflect this narrow spread without strong consensus on exact maxima. Historical August baselines near 33°C provide context, but short-term moisture patterns and diurnal heating rates will determine resolution. Updated model outputs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,737End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 19 show highs clustered near 34–37°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover the main drivers splitting market-implied odds between 36°C (41%) and 37°C (38.5%). Model consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation versus convective cooling, as timing of rain and steering flows can suppress or allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range; recent runs from regional agencies reflect this narrow spread without strong consensus on exact maxima. Historical August baselines near 33°C provide context, but short-term moisture patterns and diurnal heating rates will determine resolution. Updated model outputs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,737End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 19 show highs clustered near 34–37°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover the main drivers splitting market-implied odds between 36°C (41%) and 37°C (38.5%). Model consensus highlights uncertainty in peak solar insolation versus convective cooling, as timing of rain and steering flows can suppress or allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range; recent runs from regional agencies reflect this narrow spread without strong consensus on exact maxima. Historical August baselines near 33°C provide context, but short-term moisture patterns and diurnal heating rates will determine resolution. Updated model outputs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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