Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Karachi on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, combined with steady southwesterly sea breezes and variable cloud cover, typically moderates peak heat in late August, keeping daily highs near the 30–33°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of resolution, with any scattered showers or increased humidity further capping temperatures below 34°C. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions and historical analogs heavily, though minor shifts in steering winds or convective activity could still adjust the final reading within the narrow favored band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
32°C 61%
33°C 19%
31°C 18%
30°C 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C
61%
33°C
19%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 19%
31°C 18%
30°C 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$233 Vol.
1%
29°C
$107 Vol.
1%
30°C
$214 Vol.
1%
31°C
$834 Vol.
18%
32°C
$934 Vol.
61%
33°C
$361 Vol.
19%
34°C
$248 Vol.
1%
35°C
$32 Vol.
1%
36°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Karachi on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, combined with steady southwesterly sea breezes and variable cloud cover, typically moderates peak heat in late August, keeping daily highs near the 30–33°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of resolution, with any scattered showers or increased humidity further capping temperatures below 34°C. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions and historical analogs heavily, though minor shifts in steering winds or convective activity could still adjust the final reading within the narrow favored band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,669End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Karachi on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, combined with steady southwesterly sea breezes and variable cloud cover, typically moderates peak heat in late August, keeping daily highs near the 30–33°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of resolution, with any scattered showers or increased humidity further capping temperatures below 34°C. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions and historical analogs heavily, though minor shifts in steering winds or convective activity could still adjust the final reading within the narrow favored band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,669End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 32°C in Karachi on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 60% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture, combined with steady southwesterly sea breezes and variable cloud cover, typically moderates peak heat in late August, keeping daily highs near the 30–33°C climatological range while limiting stronger warming. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of resolution, with any scattered showers or increased humidity further capping temperatures below 34°C. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions and historical analogs heavily, though minor shifts in steering winds or convective activity could still adjust the final reading within the narrow favored band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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