Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the Met Office and BBC analyses, position a maximum of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow. These forecasts reflect recent high-pressure dominance that favors subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the west, pushing daytime highs a few degrees above seasonal averages near 23–25°C without triggering extreme heat. Ensemble consensus narrows the range tightly around these values, with lower probabilities for 30°C or cooler readings tied to minor timing uncertainties in cloud cover or frontal timing. Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will determine the exact peak, but model agreement has concentrated trader positioning on the 28–29°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 12%
NEW
$24,021 Vol.
NEW
$24,021 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
26%
29°C
41%
30°C
18%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 12%
NEW
$24,021 Vol.
NEW
$24,021 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$4,032 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,439 Vol.
4%
26°C
$2,306 Vol.
6%
27°C
$3,777 Vol.
12%
28°C
$2,990 Vol.
26%
29°C
$4,302 Vol.
41%
30°C
$2,022 Vol.
18%
31°C
$684 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$767 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$845 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$926 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the Met Office and BBC analyses, position a maximum of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow. These forecasts reflect recent high-pressure dominance that favors subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the west, pushing daytime highs a few degrees above seasonal averages near 23–25°C without triggering extreme heat. Ensemble consensus narrows the range tightly around these values, with lower probabilities for 30°C or cooler readings tied to minor timing uncertainties in cloud cover or frontal timing. Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will determine the exact peak, but model agreement has concentrated trader positioning on the 28–29°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$24,021End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the Met Office and BBC analyses, position a maximum of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow. These forecasts reflect recent high-pressure dominance that favors subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the west, pushing daytime highs a few degrees above seasonal averages near 23–25°C without triggering extreme heat. Ensemble consensus narrows the range tightly around these values, with lower probabilities for 30°C or cooler readings tied to minor timing uncertainties in cloud cover or frontal timing. Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will determine the exact peak, but model agreement has concentrated trader positioning on the 28–29°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,021End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the Met Office and BBC analyses, position a maximum of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow. These forecasts reflect recent high-pressure dominance that favors subsidence and modest warm-air advection from the west, pushing daytime highs a few degrees above seasonal averages near 23–25°C without triggering extreme heat. Ensemble consensus narrows the range tightly around these values, with lower probabilities for 30°C or cooler readings tied to minor timing uncertainties in cloud cover or frontal timing. Official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) will determine the exact peak, but model agreement has concentrated trader positioning on the 28–29°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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