Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a Beijing high of 32–34°C on August 21, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 33–34°C due to late-summer conditions of moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover punctuated by scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit peak solar insolation, with model disagreements on exact shower timing and areal coverage determining whether maximum temperatures reach the upper or lower end of that range. Climatological normals near 30–31°C for mid-to-late August provide context, while upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$46 Vol.
5%
31°C
$25 Vol.
7%
32°C
$24 Vol.
22%
33°C
$53 Vol.
27%
34°C
$12 Vol.
27%
35°C
$178 Vol.
9%
36°C
$72 Vol.
6%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a Beijing high of 32–34°C on August 21, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 33–34°C due to late-summer conditions of moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover punctuated by scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit peak solar insolation, with model disagreements on exact shower timing and areal coverage determining whether maximum temperatures reach the upper or lower end of that range. Climatological normals near 30–31°C for mid-to-late August provide context, while upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$450End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a Beijing high of 32–34°C on August 21, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 33–34°C due to late-summer conditions of moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover punctuated by scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit peak solar insolation, with model disagreements on exact shower timing and areal coverage determining whether maximum temperatures reach the upper or lower end of that range. Climatological normals near 30–31°C for mid-to-late August provide context, while upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$450End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a Beijing high of 32–34°C on August 21, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 33–34°C due to late-summer conditions of moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover punctuated by scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit peak solar insolation, with model disagreements on exact shower timing and areal coverage determining whether maximum temperatures reach the upper or lower end of that range. Climatological normals near 30–31°C for mid-to-late August provide context, while upcoming forecast updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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