Forecast models from multiple agencies project a daytime high near 37–38°C for Karachi on September 14, driven by residual summer heat and light southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system originating over the Bay of Bengal. This system is expected to increase cloud cover, humidity, and the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day, which could limit peak temperatures. Sea-breeze effects and regional climatology for mid-September further anchor expectations in this range. Trader consensus reflected in the market places the highest probability on 39°C or above, highlighting remaining uncertainty in exact maximum readings and potential model spread before official Pakistan Meteorological Department verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
39°C or higher 33%
37°C 22%
38°C 19%
36°C 16%
$12,629 Vol.
$12,629 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
11%
36°C
16%
37°C
22%
38°C
19%
39°C or higher
33%
39°C or higher 33%
37°C 22%
38°C 19%
36°C 16%
$12,629 Vol.
$12,629 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
11%
36°C
16%
37°C
22%
38°C
19%
39°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies project a daytime high near 37–38°C for Karachi on September 14, driven by residual summer heat and light southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system originating over the Bay of Bengal. This system is expected to increase cloud cover, humidity, and the chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day, which could limit peak temperatures. Sea-breeze effects and regional climatology for mid-September further anchor expectations in this range. Trader consensus reflected in the market places the highest probability on 39°C or above, highlighting remaining uncertainty in exact maximum readings and potential model spread before official Pakistan Meteorological Department verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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