**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service points to a minimum temperature near 67°F in Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability.** Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and persistent marine layer influence typical for the region in mid-September. This places the expected low close to the long-term average of ~64°F while well above historical extremes below 60°F. The secondary 78°F-or-higher bucket at 43% likely reflects trader hedging around daytime peaks near 83°F or minor forecast spreads, though it has lower direct relevance to the overnight minimum. Recent stability in high-pressure patterns and absence of cooling fronts or stronger onshore flow have kept probabilities anchored, with limited volatility expected absent late model shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
78°F or higher 78%
68-69°F 66%
59°F or below 40%
70-71°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
59°F or below
40%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
66%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78°F or higher
78%
78°F or higher 78%
68-69°F 66%
59°F or below 40%
70-71°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
39%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$112 Vol.
66%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78°F or higher
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service points to a minimum temperature near 67°F in Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability.** Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and persistent marine layer influence typical for the region in mid-September. This places the expected low close to the long-term average of ~64°F while well above historical extremes below 60°F.
The secondary 78°F-or-higher bucket at 43% likely reflects trader hedging around daytime peaks near 83°F or minor forecast spreads, though it has lower direct relevance to the overnight minimum. Recent stability in high-pressure patterns and absence of cooling fronts or stronger onshore flow have kept probabilities anchored, with limited volatility expected absent late model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$112End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service points to a minimum temperature near 67°F in Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability.** Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and persistent marine layer influence typical for the region in mid-September. This places the expected low close to the long-term average of ~64°F while well above historical extremes below 60°F.
The secondary 78°F-or-higher bucket at 43% likely reflects trader hedging around daytime peaks near 83°F or minor forecast spreads, though it has lower direct relevance to the overnight minimum. Recent stability in high-pressure patterns and absence of cooling fronts or stronger onshore flow have kept probabilities anchored, with limited volatility expected absent late model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$112End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service points to a minimum temperature near 67°F in Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability.** Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and persistent marine layer influence typical for the region in mid-September. This places the expected low close to the long-term average of ~64°F while well above historical extremes below 60°F. The secondary 78°F-or-higher bucket at 43% likely reflects trader hedging around daytime peaks near 83°F or minor forecast spreads, though it has lower direct relevance to the overnight minimum. Recent stability in high-pressure patterns and absence of cooling fronts or stronger onshore flow have kept probabilities anchored, with limited volatility expected absent late model shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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