Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 13, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 24°C, with models showing afternoon peaks of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered rain, and light winds that limit surface heating. Official and ensemble guidance consistently places the high in this narrow range, reflecting typical mid-September conditions in the Sichuan Basin where monsoon moisture and persistent cloud cover suppress stronger warming. The 54.5% implied probability on 24°C captures this model consensus, while the secondary weight on 25°C reflects minor upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected; lower outcomes remain possible only with heavier rainfall or delayed insolation. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
24°C 56%
25°C 27%
23°C 15%
26°C 6%
$34,226 Vol.
$34,226 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
15%
24°C
56%
25°C
27%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 27%
23°C 15%
26°C 6%
$34,226 Vol.
$34,226 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$3,201 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,518 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,790 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,047 Vol.
15%
24°C
$6,553 Vol.
56%
25°C
$2,899 Vol.
27%
26°C
$3,602 Vol.
6%
27°C
$2,575 Vol.
2%
28°C
$3,474 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 13, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 24°C, with models showing afternoon peaks of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered rain, and light winds that limit surface heating. Official and ensemble guidance consistently places the high in this narrow range, reflecting typical mid-September conditions in the Sichuan Basin where monsoon moisture and persistent cloud cover suppress stronger warming. The 54.5% implied probability on 24°C captures this model consensus, while the secondary weight on 25°C reflects minor upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected; lower outcomes remain possible only with heavier rainfall or delayed insolation. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$34,226End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 13, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 24°C, with models showing afternoon peaks of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered rain, and light winds that limit surface heating. Official and ensemble guidance consistently places the high in this narrow range, reflecting typical mid-September conditions in the Sichuan Basin where monsoon moisture and persistent cloud cover suppress stronger warming. The 54.5% implied probability on 24°C captures this model consensus, while the secondary weight on 25°C reflects minor upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected; lower outcomes remain possible only with heavier rainfall or delayed insolation. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,226End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 13, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 24°C, with models showing afternoon peaks of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered rain, and light winds that limit surface heating. Official and ensemble guidance consistently places the high in this narrow range, reflecting typical mid-September conditions in the Sichuan Basin where monsoon moisture and persistent cloud cover suppress stronger warming. The 54.5% implied probability on 24°C captures this model consensus, while the secondary weight on 25°C reflects minor upside potential if clearing occurs earlier than expected; lower outcomes remain possible only with heavier rainfall or delayed insolation. Updated short-range runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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