Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Guangzhou on September 14, moderated by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-80%, and an 80%+ chance of rain and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and the subtropical monsoon pattern further constrain warming relative to the 32°C climatological average high. Trader consensus clusters around 33-34°C (61% combined implied probability) amid model spread on afternoon cloud breaks, while the lower 32°C outcome reflects heavier rainfall timing; resolution hinges on official observations accounting for urban heat island effects versus rural station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
34°C 31%
33°C 30%
35°C 18%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
30%
34°C
31%
35°C
18%
36°C or higher
2%
34°C 31%
33°C 30%
35°C 18%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$493 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$813 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$498 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$630 Vol.
3%
31°C
$577 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,317 Vol.
14%
33°C
$436 Vol.
30%
34°C
$1,204 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,674 Vol.
18%
36°C or higher
$473 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Guangzhou on September 14, moderated by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-80%, and an 80%+ chance of rain and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and the subtropical monsoon pattern further constrain warming relative to the 32°C climatological average high. Trader consensus clusters around 33-34°C (61% combined implied probability) amid model spread on afternoon cloud breaks, while the lower 32°C outcome reflects heavier rainfall timing; resolution hinges on official observations accounting for urban heat island effects versus rural station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$9,521End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Guangzhou on September 14, moderated by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-80%, and an 80%+ chance of rain and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and the subtropical monsoon pattern further constrain warming relative to the 32°C climatological average high. Trader consensus clusters around 33-34°C (61% combined implied probability) amid model spread on afternoon cloud breaks, while the lower 32°C outcome reflects heavier rainfall timing; resolution hinges on official observations accounting for urban heat island effects versus rural station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,521End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 31°C in Guangzhou on September 14, moderated by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-80%, and an 80%+ chance of rain and thunderstorms that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Light northeasterly winds and the subtropical monsoon pattern further constrain warming relative to the 32°C climatological average high. Trader consensus clusters around 33-34°C (61% combined implied probability) amid model spread on afternoon cloud breaks, while the lower 32°C outcome reflects heavier rainfall timing; resolution hinges on official observations accounting for urban heat island effects versus rural station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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