Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 13?
22°C 48%
23°C 25%
21°C or below 22%
24°C 4%
$31,237 Vol.
$31,237 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
22%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 25%
21°C or below 22%
24°C 4%
$31,237 Vol.
$31,237 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$8,576 Vol.
22%
22°C
$2,281 Vol.
48%
23°C
$2,923 Vol.
25%
24°C
$7,373 Vol.
4%
25°C
$2,899 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,013 Vol.
1%
27°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,270 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,527 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,237End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,237End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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