Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 6 points to sunny skies, light southeast winds, and strong daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern, with forecast highs centered near 100°F and heat indices near 107°F. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting since early September, with daily maxima of 94–101°F amid above-average temperatures relative to the 92.5°F climatological normal. Trader consensus remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets because small differences in afternoon mixing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact peak by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow window given the consistent model agreement and lack of frontal systems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
100-101°F 47%
98-99°F 45%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
47%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 47%
98-99°F 45%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
87°F or below
$394 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$301 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$301 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$501 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$361 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1,248 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$1,035 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$3,676 Vol.
47%
102-103°F
$566 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 6 points to sunny skies, light southeast winds, and strong daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern, with forecast highs centered near 100°F and heat indices near 107°F. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting since early September, with daily maxima of 94–101°F amid above-average temperatures relative to the 92.5°F climatological normal. Trader consensus remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets because small differences in afternoon mixing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact peak by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow window given the consistent model agreement and lack of frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,754End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 6 points to sunny skies, light southeast winds, and strong daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern, with forecast highs centered near 100°F and heat indices near 107°F. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting since early September, with daily maxima of 94–101°F amid above-average temperatures relative to the 92.5°F climatological normal. Trader consensus remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets because small differences in afternoon mixing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact peak by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow window given the consistent model agreement and lack of frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,754End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 6 points to sunny skies, light southeast winds, and strong daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern, with forecast highs centered near 100°F and heat indices near 107°F. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting since early September, with daily maxima of 94–101°F amid above-average temperatures relative to the 92.5°F climatological normal. Trader consensus remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets because small differences in afternoon mixing, cloud cover, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact peak by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow window given the consistent model agreement and lack of frontal systems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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