Recent forecast model consensus and real-time observations position a peak near 33–34°C as the most likely outcome for Milan’s September 5 high, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that promote strong daytime heating while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Hourly data show temperatures climbing through the mid-afternoon under low humidity and stable atmospheric conditions typical of early-September anticyclonic flow over the Po Valley. Multiple guidance runs converge on afternoon maxima of 34–35°C with minimal precipitation risk, though slight model spread and timing of the daily peak introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Updated observations and evening verification will refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 5?
33°C 71%
34°C 18%
32°C 13%
35°C 2%
$41,362 Vol.
$41,362 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
13%
33°C
71%
34°C
18%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
34°C 18%
32°C 13%
35°C 2%
$41,362 Vol.
$41,362 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$11,540 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,800 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,058 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,325 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,366 Vol.
13%
33°C
$8,606 Vol.
71%
34°C
$4,011 Vol.
18%
35°C
$2,621 Vol.
2%
36°C
$649 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus and real-time observations position a peak near 33–34°C as the most likely outcome for Milan’s September 5 high, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that promote strong daytime heating while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Hourly data show temperatures climbing through the mid-afternoon under low humidity and stable atmospheric conditions typical of early-September anticyclonic flow over the Po Valley. Multiple guidance runs converge on afternoon maxima of 34–35°C with minimal precipitation risk, though slight model spread and timing of the daily peak introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Updated observations and evening verification will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$41,362End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus and real-time observations position a peak near 33–34°C as the most likely outcome for Milan’s September 5 high, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that promote strong daytime heating while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Hourly data show temperatures climbing through the mid-afternoon under low humidity and stable atmospheric conditions typical of early-September anticyclonic flow over the Po Valley. Multiple guidance runs converge on afternoon maxima of 34–35°C with minimal precipitation risk, though slight model spread and timing of the daily peak introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Updated observations and evening verification will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,362End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus and real-time observations position a peak near 33–34°C as the most likely outcome for Milan’s September 5 high, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that promote strong daytime heating while limiting cloud cover or moisture. Hourly data show temperatures climbing through the mid-afternoon under low humidity and stable atmospheric conditions typical of early-September anticyclonic flow over the Po Valley. Multiple guidance runs converge on afternoon maxima of 34–35°C with minimal precipitation risk, though slight model spread and timing of the daily peak introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Updated observations and evening verification will refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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