Current meteorological data and forecast models for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 35°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light southeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 40-50%, and partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar heating without excessive moisture or precipitation. Official observations align with this peak, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where clear to partly cloudy days often reach these levels. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability reflects this strong alignment across sources. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a rapid frontal passage that suppresses afternoon temperatures below the threshold, though no such shifts appear in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$39,637 Vol.
$39,637 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$39,637 Vol.
$39,637 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological data and forecast models for Chongqing on September 5, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 35°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light southeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 40-50%, and partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar heating without excessive moisture or precipitation. Official observations align with this peak, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where clear to partly cloudy days often reach these levels. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability reflects this strong alignment across sources. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a rapid frontal passage that suppresses afternoon temperatures below the threshold, though no such shifts appear in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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