**Market-implied odds favor 37°C as the most likely daily maximum in Chongqing on September 6, followed closely by 36°C, reflecting short-term forecast consensus from regional models.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting continued clear to partly cloudy conditions with strong solar heating, building on recent days that have already reached 35–36°C. September climatology for the city typically peaks near 27–30°C, so the current warm anomaly aligns with the elevated trader probabilities for the upper 30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for tomorrow, with minimal precipitation risk and steady steering patterns unlikely to shift before the observing window closes. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance later today represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
37°C 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 11%
38°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
34%
37°C
47%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 11%
38°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
31°C or below
$190 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$190 Vol.
1%
34°C
$363 Vol.
2%
35°C
$792 Vol.
11%
36°C
$906 Vol.
34%
37°C
$1,043 Vol.
47%
38°C
$866 Vol.
9%
39°C
$229 Vol.
3%
40°C
$402 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor 37°C as the most likely daily maximum in Chongqing on September 6, followed closely by 36°C, reflecting short-term forecast consensus from regional models.**
Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting continued clear to partly cloudy conditions with strong solar heating, building on recent days that have already reached 35–36°C. September climatology for the city typically peaks near 27–30°C, so the current warm anomaly aligns with the elevated trader probabilities for the upper 30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for tomorrow, with minimal precipitation risk and steady steering patterns unlikely to shift before the observing window closes. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance later today represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,575End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor 37°C as the most likely daily maximum in Chongqing on September 6, followed closely by 36°C, reflecting short-term forecast consensus from regional models.**
Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting continued clear to partly cloudy conditions with strong solar heating, building on recent days that have already reached 35–36°C. September climatology for the city typically peaks near 27–30°C, so the current warm anomaly aligns with the elevated trader probabilities for the upper 30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for tomorrow, with minimal precipitation risk and steady steering patterns unlikely to shift before the observing window closes. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance later today represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,575End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor 37°C as the most likely daily maximum in Chongqing on September 6, followed closely by 36°C, reflecting short-term forecast consensus from regional models.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting continued clear to partly cloudy conditions with strong solar heating, building on recent days that have already reached 35–36°C. September climatology for the city typically peaks near 27–30°C, so the current warm anomaly aligns with the elevated trader probabilities for the upper 30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for tomorrow, with minimal precipitation risk and steady steering patterns unlikely to shift before the observing window closes. Updated model runs and official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance later today represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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