Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
32°C 96%
33°C 4%
34°C or higher <1%
24°C or below <1%
$50,044 Vol.
$50,044 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
96%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
32°C 96%
33°C 4%
34°C or higher <1%
24°C or below <1%
$50,044 Vol.
$50,044 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,850 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$41,120 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,169 Vol.
96%
33°C
$1,445 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$373 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$50,044End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,044End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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