Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a slow-moving frontal boundary and residual moisture across parts of the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, and Great Basin on September 6, while much of the western and northeastern U.S. remain drier under high pressure. Probability of precipitation forecasts from the Weather Prediction Center show localized 20-50% chances in active zones versus under 20% elsewhere, consistent with late-summer convective patterns and historical baselines for early September. Traders monitor the latest 00Z and 12Z model runs plus National Hurricane Center or local NWS updates through tonight, as small shifts in steering flow or instability can alter where measurable rain occurs by resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 6?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$2,000 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a slow-moving frontal boundary and residual moisture across parts of the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, and Great Basin on September 6, while much of the western and northeastern U.S. remain drier under high pressure. Probability of precipitation forecasts from the Weather Prediction Center show localized 20-50% chances in active zones versus under 20% elsewhere, consistent with late-summer convective patterns and historical baselines for early September. Traders monitor the latest 00Z and 12Z model runs plus National Hurricane Center or local NWS updates through tonight, as small shifts in steering flow or instability can alter where measurable rain occurs by resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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