Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5 most likely near 16–17°C, with the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C reflecting typical late-winter uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Daytime maxima hinge on the strength of southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air versus limited solar insolation under variable stratiform clouds, alongside the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C in central districts. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and short-range runs show modest warming ahead of a weak frontal passage, but small shifts in low-level moisture or wind speed could easily tip the daily peak by 1°C either way before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
16°C 34%
17°C 28%
15°C 18%
18°C 13%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
34%
17°C
28%
18°C
13%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 34%
17°C 28%
15°C 18%
18°C 13%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
34%
17°C
28%
18°C
13%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5 most likely near 16–17°C, with the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C reflecting typical late-winter uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Daytime maxima hinge on the strength of southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air versus limited solar insolation under variable stratiform clouds, alongside the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C in central districts. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and short-range runs show modest warming ahead of a weak frontal passage, but small shifts in low-level moisture or wind speed could easily tip the daily peak by 1°C either way before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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