Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under predominantly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer continental conditions and the month's average high near 32°C. Minor divergences among ensemble forecasts—driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and exact peak timing—create the tight spread between those two outcomes, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service station will determine resolution, with traders monitoring the final afternoon observations for any last adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 19?
31°C 49%
32°C 41%
30°C 7%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
49%
32°C
41%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 41%
30°C 7%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$649 Vol.
2%
30°C
$710 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,287 Vol.
49%
32°C
$648 Vol.
41%
33°C
$433 Vol.
6%
34°C
$746 Vol.
1%
35°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under predominantly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer continental conditions and the month's average high near 32°C. Minor divergences among ensemble forecasts—driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and exact peak timing—create the tight spread between those two outcomes, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service station will determine resolution, with traders monitoring the final afternoon observations for any last adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,763End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under predominantly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer continental conditions and the month's average high near 32°C. Minor divergences among ensemble forecasts—driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and exact peak timing—create the tight spread between those two outcomes, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service station will determine resolution, with traders monitoring the final afternoon observations for any last adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,763End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under predominantly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer continental conditions and the month's average high near 32°C. Minor divergences among ensemble forecasts—driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and exact peak timing—create the tight spread between those two outcomes, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service station will determine resolution, with traders monitoring the final afternoon observations for any last adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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