Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 30°C in Ankara on August 18 under predominantly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with climatological averages for mid-August in the region. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on surface heating driven by clear skies and seasonal solar radiation, with minimal moisture or frontal activity expected to moderate peak values. Trader sentiment reflects this high-confidence outlook, as historical analogs and current observational data from regional stations support temperatures clustering near 30°C rather than extremes. Minor deviations could arise from localized cloud development or subtle shifts in steering winds that alter the diurnal temperature curve, though such changes remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
30°C 99%
31°C 10%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$24,061 Vol.
$24,061 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
93%
31°C
10%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99%
31°C 10%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$24,061 Vol.
$24,061 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
93%
31°C
10%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 30°C in Ankara on August 18 under predominantly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with climatological averages for mid-August in the region. Numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus on surface heating driven by clear skies and seasonal solar radiation, with minimal moisture or frontal activity expected to moderate peak values. Trader sentiment reflects this high-confidence outlook, as historical analogs and current observational data from regional stations support temperatures clustering near 30°C rather than extremes. Minor deviations could arise from localized cloud development or subtle shifts in steering winds that alter the diurnal temperature curve, though such changes remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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