Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daily high of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity limiting extreme afternoon heating. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 35°C and 36°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing of any convective clouds that could cap peak temperatures below 34°C or allow brief spikes near 36°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–35°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes outside this narrow band ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 18?
35°C 35%
36°C 35%
34°C 21%
33°C 5%
NEW
$22,596 Vol.
NEW
$22,596 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
40%
36°C
35%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
36°C 35%
34°C 21%
33°C 5%
NEW
$22,596 Vol.
NEW
$22,596 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,190 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,000 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,262 Vol.
5%
34°C
$4,165 Vol.
21%
35°C
$3,093 Vol.
40%
36°C
$1,825 Vol.
35%
37°C
$2,812 Vol.
2%
38°C
$2,334 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$677 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daily high of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity limiting extreme afternoon heating. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 35°C and 36°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing of any convective clouds that could cap peak temperatures below 34°C or allow brief spikes near 36°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–35°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes outside this narrow band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$22,596End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daily high of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity limiting extreme afternoon heating. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 35°C and 36°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing of any convective clouds that could cap peak temperatures below 34°C or allow brief spikes near 36°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–35°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes outside this narrow band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,596End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daily high of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity limiting extreme afternoon heating. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 35°C and 36°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing of any convective clouds that could cap peak temperatures below 34°C or allow brief spikes near 36°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–35°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to extremes outside this narrow band ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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