Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and regional models show a cooler maritime air mass advecting into central Russia ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 likely falling between 9–13 °C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. This steering pattern suppresses radiative cooling yet keeps surface temperatures below the late-August climatological average of roughly 12–14 °C. Model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the near-even split between sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance that continues to cluster in the middle of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 26. August?
7°C or below 95%
12°C 90%
17°C or higher 60%
8°C 50%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
7°C or below
95%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
90%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
2%
16°C
45%
17°C or higher
60%
7°C or below 95%
12°C 90%
17°C or higher 60%
8°C 50%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
50%
10°C
$0 Vol.
50%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and regional models show a cooler maritime air mass advecting into central Russia ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 likely falling between 9–13 °C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. This steering pattern suppresses radiative cooling yet keeps surface temperatures below the late-August climatological average of roughly 12–14 °C. Model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the near-even split between sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance that continues to cluster in the middle of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and regional models show a cooler maritime air mass advecting into central Russia ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 likely falling between 9–13 °C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. This steering pattern suppresses radiative cooling yet keeps surface temperatures below the late-August climatological average of roughly 12–14 °C. Model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the near-even split between sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance that continues to cluster in the middle of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and regional models show a cooler maritime air mass advecting into central Russia ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with Moscow's overnight minimum on August 26 likely falling between 9–13 °C under persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. This steering pattern suppresses radiative cooling yet keeps surface temperatures below the late-August climatological average of roughly 12–14 °C. Model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the near-even split between sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance that continues to cluster in the middle of the distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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