Recent model consensus from sources including Worldmeteo and Met Office points to a daily minimum temperature near 29–32°C for Jeddah on August 26, driven by typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling and maintains elevated dew points around 20–24°C. August climatology shows average lows near 27°C, with recent station data reflecting 28–32°C minima amid stable high-pressure conditions and negligible precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 25°C-or-below outcome (49.5% implied probability) versus 31–32°C (25% each) appears to incorporate uncertainty around short-term model variability or localized wind shifts, while negligible odds for 35°C+ align with the low likelihood of anomalous warming. Updated forecasts and official station readings expected within 48 hours will provide the key resolution inputs.