Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chongqing am 26. August?
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 60%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
60%
23°C
43%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
60%
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 60%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
60%
23°C
$0 Vol.
43%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs show notable spread in minimum temperature guidance for Chongqing on August 26, with ensemble members split between scenarios supporting a daily low near or below 22°C versus sustained warmth keeping the minimum at or above 32°C. This bifurcation stems primarily from uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under varying cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-80%, and potential for localized convective rainfall tied to the East Asian monsoon trough. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island typically suppress nighttime drops, favoring the warmer tail, while any increase in low-level moisture or precipitation could enhance cooling and shift odds toward the cooler outcome. Upcoming high-resolution model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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