Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a durable Republican advantage rooted in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit margin in 2024 and incumbent Ben Cline's 28-point reelection that year. Cline advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Beth Macy emerged from her party's contest to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 92.5%. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national environment or significant local disruption, both of which remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$113,446 交易量
$113,446 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$113,446 交易量
$113,446 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$44,372 交易量
93%
民主党
$69,074 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a durable Republican advantage rooted in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit margin in 2024 and incumbent Ben Cline's 28-point reelection that year. Cline advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Beth Macy emerged from her party's contest to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 92.5%. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national environment or significant local disruption, both of which remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$113,446结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a durable Republican advantage rooted in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit margin in 2024 and incumbent Ben Cline's 28-point reelection that year. Cline advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Beth Macy emerged from her party's contest to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 92.5%. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national environment or significant local disruption, both of which remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$113,446结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a durable Republican advantage rooted in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's double-digit margin in 2024 and incumbent Ben Cline's 28-point reelection that year. Cline advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Beth Macy emerged from her party's contest to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 92.5%. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national environment or significant local disruption, both of which remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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