Democratic incumbent Susie Lee secured her party's nomination for Nevada's 3rd congressional district with roughly 70% of the primary vote in June 2026, advancing to face Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP field. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has returned Lee to office since 2019, including a narrow 51.4% general-election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Lee's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the modest structural advantage in a battleground-leaning constituency. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path typical for challengers in this environment, with limited recent developments to alter the consensus assessment ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,070 交易量
90%
共和党
$766 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Susie Lee secured her party's nomination for Nevada's 3rd congressional district with roughly 70% of the primary vote in June 2026, advancing to face Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP field. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has returned Lee to office since 2019, including a narrow 51.4% general-election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Lee's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the modest structural advantage in a battleground-leaning constituency. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path typical for challengers in this environment, with limited recent developments to alter the consensus assessment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$3,836结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Susie Lee secured her party's nomination for Nevada's 3rd congressional district with roughly 70% of the primary vote in June 2026, advancing to face Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP field. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has returned Lee to office since 2019, including a narrow 51.4% general-election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Lee's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the modest structural advantage in a battleground-leaning constituency. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path typical for challengers in this environment, with limited recent developments to alter the consensus assessment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,836结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Susie Lee secured her party's nomination for Nevada's 3rd congressional district with roughly 70% of the primary vote in June 2026, advancing to face Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who prevailed in a fragmented GOP field. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has returned Lee to office since 2019, including a narrow 51.4% general-election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Lee's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the modest structural advantage in a battleground-leaning constituency. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path typical for challengers in this environment, with limited recent developments to alter the consensus assessment ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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