The strong Democratic lean of Nevada's 1st congressional district, combined with incumbent Dina Titus's decisive primary victory on June 9, 2026, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee win in the November general election. Titus secured roughly 76% in the Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed by a similar margin in her contest. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the structural advantages for the sitting representative seeking reelection. These factors, along with the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, sustain the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,398 交易量
$15,398 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
$15,398 交易量
$15,398 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$4,130 交易量
90%
共和党
$11,268 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Nevada's 1st congressional district, combined with incumbent Dina Titus's decisive primary victory on June 9, 2026, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee win in the November general election. Titus secured roughly 76% in the Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed by a similar margin in her contest. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the structural advantages for the sitting representative seeking reelection. These factors, along with the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, sustain the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$15,398结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Nevada's 1st congressional district, combined with incumbent Dina Titus's decisive primary victory on June 9, 2026, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee win in the November general election. Titus secured roughly 76% in the Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed by a similar margin in her contest. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the structural advantages for the sitting representative seeking reelection. These factors, along with the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, sustain the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,398结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Nevada's 1st congressional district, combined with incumbent Dina Titus's decisive primary victory on June 9, 2026, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic nominee win in the November general election. Titus secured roughly 76% in the Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed by a similar margin in her contest. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the structural advantages for the sitting representative seeking reelection. These factors, along with the absence of major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, sustain the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题