Emily Randall's strong performance in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 60% of the vote as the Democratic incumbent, has reinforced trader expectations in Washington's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, aligning with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Teresa Fox, the leading Republican, advanced but trails significantly in a district where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have historically favored the party. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make a Republican victory improbable under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,327 交易量
$16,327 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$16,327 交易量
$16,327 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,009 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,318 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall's strong performance in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 60% of the vote as the Democratic incumbent, has reinforced trader expectations in Washington's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, aligning with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Teresa Fox, the leading Republican, advanced but trails significantly in a district where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have historically favored the party. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make a Republican victory improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$16,327结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall's strong performance in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 60% of the vote as the Democratic incumbent, has reinforced trader expectations in Washington's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, aligning with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Teresa Fox, the leading Republican, advanced but trails significantly in a district where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have historically favored the party. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make a Republican victory improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,327结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Emily Randall's strong performance in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 60% of the vote as the Democratic incumbent, has reinforced trader expectations in Washington's 6th congressional district. The seat carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, aligning with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Teresa Fox, the leading Republican, advanced but trails significantly in a district where Democratic registration and turnout patterns have historically favored the party. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages make a Republican victory improbable under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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