The rematch between incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans and Democratic nominee Elaine Luria in Virginia's 2nd congressional district, a swing seat with even partisan voting index, has produced market prices favoring the Democrat. Luria's decisive primary victory on August 17, 2026, cleared the field and positioned her for a general-election campaign emphasizing checks on the current administration, while Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic based on the district's Hampton Roads geography, past close margins, and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh Luria's prior tenure, fundraising, and polling trends more heavily than incumbency, creating the wide gap between the two parties' implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,111 交易量
$21,111 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
84%
共和党
16%
$21,111 交易量
$21,111 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,330 交易量
84%
共和党
$13,781 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch between incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans and Democratic nominee Elaine Luria in Virginia's 2nd congressional district, a swing seat with even partisan voting index, has produced market prices favoring the Democrat. Luria's decisive primary victory on August 17, 2026, cleared the field and positioned her for a general-election campaign emphasizing checks on the current administration, while Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic based on the district's Hampton Roads geography, past close margins, and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh Luria's prior tenure, fundraising, and polling trends more heavily than incumbency, creating the wide gap between the two parties' implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$21,111结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch between incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans and Democratic nominee Elaine Luria in Virginia's 2nd congressional district, a swing seat with even partisan voting index, has produced market prices favoring the Democrat. Luria's decisive primary victory on August 17, 2026, cleared the field and positioned her for a general-election campaign emphasizing checks on the current administration, while Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic based on the district's Hampton Roads geography, past close margins, and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh Luria's prior tenure, fundraising, and polling trends more heavily than incumbency, creating the wide gap between the two parties' implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,111结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The rematch between incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans and Democratic nominee Elaine Luria in Virginia's 2nd congressional district, a swing seat with even partisan voting index, has produced market prices favoring the Democrat. Luria's decisive primary victory on August 17, 2026, cleared the field and positioned her for a general-election campaign emphasizing checks on the current administration, while Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic based on the district's Hampton Roads geography, past close margins, and midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh Luria's prior tenure, fundraising, and polling trends more heavily than incumbency, creating the wide gap between the two parties' implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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