United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 99.0%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
新人民党（NL） <1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP） <1%
$3,765,772 交易量
$3,765,772 交易量
2026-09-29
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
99%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
新人民党（NL）
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
<1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
<1%
祖国党
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
亚布洛科
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 99.0%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
新人民党（NL） <1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP） <1%
$3,765,772 交易量
$3,765,772 交易量
2026-09-29
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$1,202,543 交易量
99%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$213,237 交易量
1%
新人民党（NL）
$168,968 交易量
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
$742,262 交易量
<1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$258,215 交易量
<1%
祖国党
$505,710 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$604,433 交易量
<1%
亚布洛科
$70,405 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,765,772结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETParliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,765,772结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETUnited Russia maintains a commanding position in the State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from Russia's tightly managed electoral system, where opposition parties face registration barriers and limited media access. The Kremlin has aligned the September 18–20 vote with wartime priorities, with President Putin framing participation as an expression of national resolve. High-profile United Russia candidates, including Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, reinforce the party's institutional dominance. Systemic opposition groups such as the Communist Party and LDPR operate within narrow parameters and lack pathways to challenge the majority. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected disqualifications, sharp economic deterioration, or major shifts in turnout, though the current structure makes such developments improbable before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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