The election to Russia’s State Duma concluded on 20 September 2026 after three days of voting across time zones. Early official tallies from the Central Election Commission placed United Russia near 57 percent on the party-list portion, consistent with the market’s leading 55-60 percent interval. Exit polls from state-linked firms ranged from 49.4 percent (VTsIOM) to 52.8 percent (INSOMAR), while independent surveys conducted in the preceding weeks showed lower figures amid reported voter fatigue, economic pressures, and war-related strains. Yabloko was removed from the ballot by court ruling in August, leaving only systemic parties that publicly back the Kremlin line. Historical patterns of administrative mobilization, regional variation, and turnout above 56 percent support the observed consolidation around the mid-50s in preliminary counts, with final certification expected to determine market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55-60% 65%
50-55% 42%
60%+ 10.2%
45-50% 10%
最新
$20,393 交易量
最新
$20,393 交易量
2026-10-31
低于40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
10%
50-55%
29%
55-60%
65%
60%+
15%
55-60% 65%
50-55% 42%
60%+ 10.2%
45-50% 10%
最新
$20,393 交易量
最新
$20,393 交易量
2026-10-31
低于40%
$146 交易量
<1%
40-45%
$478 交易量
<1%
45-50%
$2,978 交易量
10%
50-55%
$4,685 交易量
29%
55-60%
$2,478 交易量
65%
60%+
$9,629 交易量
15%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The election to Russia’s State Duma concluded on 20 September 2026 after three days of voting across time zones. Early official tallies from the Central Election Commission placed United Russia near 57 percent on the party-list portion, consistent with the market’s leading 55-60 percent interval. Exit polls from state-linked firms ranged from 49.4 percent (VTsIOM) to 52.8 percent (INSOMAR), while independent surveys conducted in the preceding weeks showed lower figures amid reported voter fatigue, economic pressures, and war-related strains. Yabloko was removed from the ballot by court ruling in August, leaving only systemic parties that publicly back the Kremlin line. Historical patterns of administrative mobilization, regional variation, and turnout above 56 percent support the observed consolidation around the mid-50s in preliminary counts, with final certification expected to determine market resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
交易量
$20,393结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The election to Russia’s State Duma concluded on 20 September 2026 after three days of voting across time zones. Early official tallies from the Central Election Commission placed United Russia near 57 percent on the party-list portion, consistent with the market’s leading 55-60 percent interval. Exit polls from state-linked firms ranged from 49.4 percent (VTsIOM) to 52.8 percent (INSOMAR), while independent surveys conducted in the preceding weeks showed lower figures amid reported voter fatigue, economic pressures, and war-related strains. Yabloko was removed from the ballot by court ruling in August, leaving only systemic parties that publicly back the Kremlin line. Historical patterns of administrative mobilization, regional variation, and turnout above 56 percent support the observed consolidation around the mid-50s in preliminary counts, with final certification expected to determine market resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$20,393结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETThe election to Russia’s State Duma concluded on 20 September 2026 after three days of voting across time zones. Early official tallies from the Central Election Commission placed United Russia near 57 percent on the party-list portion, consistent with the market’s leading 55-60 percent interval. Exit polls from state-linked firms ranged from 49.4 percent (VTsIOM) to 52.8 percent (INSOMAR), while independent surveys conducted in the preceding weeks showed lower figures amid reported voter fatigue, economic pressures, and war-related strains. Yabloko was removed from the ballot by court ruling in August, leaving only systemic parties that publicly back the Kremlin line. Historical patterns of administrative mobilization, regional variation, and turnout above 56 percent support the observed consolidation around the mid-50s in preliminary counts, with final certification expected to determine market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题