Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a strong majority, positioning the longtime incumbent to defend the heavily Democratic Brooklyn-based district in the November general election. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 80 percent for Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. The Republican challenger faces structural barriers typical of the district's voter registration and turnout patterns. Factors that could realistically shift odds include significant late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political wave altering turnout, though none have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,755 交易量
$43,755 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$43,755 交易量
$43,755 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$19,282 交易量
95%
共和党
$24,474 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a strong majority, positioning the longtime incumbent to defend the heavily Democratic Brooklyn-based district in the November general election. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 80 percent for Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. The Republican challenger faces structural barriers typical of the district's voter registration and turnout patterns. Factors that could realistically shift odds include significant late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political wave altering turnout, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$43,755结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a strong majority, positioning the longtime incumbent to defend the heavily Democratic Brooklyn-based district in the November general election. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 80 percent for Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. The Republican challenger faces structural barriers typical of the district's voter registration and turnout patterns. Factors that could realistically shift odds include significant late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political wave altering turnout, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,755结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a strong majority, positioning the longtime incumbent to defend the heavily Democratic Brooklyn-based district in the November general election. The seat's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 80 percent for Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. The Republican challenger faces structural barriers typical of the district's voter registration and turnout patterns. Factors that could realistically shift odds include significant late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated national political wave altering turnout, though none have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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