Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 17–18°C for Toronto on September 8 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with above-average conditions for early September. Lake Ontario moderation and a mild southeasterly flow limit rapid cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front reduces the chance of sharper drops below 15°C. Historical averages around 15°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with traders assigning elevated implied probability to the 11°C-or-below bin reflecting residual model uncertainty around cloud cover and any late-arriving northerly air. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus toward cooler or warmer thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日多伦多最低气温？
9月8日多伦多最低气温？
11°C或以下 69%
21°C或更高 59%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
69%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C或更高
59%
11°C或以下 69%
21°C或更高 59%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
12°C
$0 交易量
48%
13°C
$0 交易量
48%
14°C
$0 交易量
48%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 17–18°C for Toronto on September 8 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with above-average conditions for early September. Lake Ontario moderation and a mild southeasterly flow limit rapid cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front reduces the chance of sharper drops below 15°C. Historical averages around 15°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with traders assigning elevated implied probability to the 11°C-or-below bin reflecting residual model uncertainty around cloud cover and any late-arriving northerly air. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus toward cooler or warmer thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 17–18°C for Toronto on September 8 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with above-average conditions for early September. Lake Ontario moderation and a mild southeasterly flow limit rapid cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front reduces the chance of sharper drops below 15°C. Historical averages around 15°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with traders assigning elevated implied probability to the 11°C-or-below bin reflecting residual model uncertainty around cloud cover and any late-arriving northerly air. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus toward cooler or warmer thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate an overnight low near 17–18°C for Toronto on September 8 under cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, consistent with above-average conditions for early September. Lake Ontario moderation and a mild southeasterly flow limit rapid cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front reduces the chance of sharper drops below 15°C. Historical averages around 15°C provide context, but current ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with traders assigning elevated implied probability to the 11°C-or-below bin reflecting residual model uncertainty around cloud cover and any late-arriving northerly air. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus toward cooler or warmer thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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